1 Professor, Department of Finance, XIMB, Xavier University, Bhubaneswar - 751 013, Odisha
2 Research Associate, Centre of Excellence in Fiscal Policy and Taxation (CEFT), Xavier University, Bhubaneswar - 751 013, Odisha
This study investigated the cyclicality of fiscal policy in India at the Centre, State, and combined Centre - State level by employing three alternative methods. The period of analysis extended from 1970-71 to 2013-14. In general, the study finds pro-cyclicality behavior of expenditure in case of India. Revenue expenditure, primary revenue expenditure, capital outlay, and total expenditure were found to be pro-cyclical at the Centre and combined Centre - State level. Capital outlay was found to have more pro-cyclicality as compared to other expenditure categories both at the Centre and combined Centre - State level. However, at the State level, capital outlay was not found to have any cyclical relation with output.
Asit Ranjan Mohanty, Bibhuti Ranjan Mishra (2017). Is Fiscal Policy Pro-Cyclical or Counter-Cyclical ? Evidence from India. Arthshastra Indian Journal of Economics & Research, 6(2), 7–19. https://doi.org/10.17010/aijer/2017/v6i2/114124