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Arthshastra Indian Journal of Economics & Research

ISSN: 2278-1811 Frequency: Quarterly Peer Review: Double-blind Published since: 2012 Language: English
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Is Fiscal Policy Pro-Cyclical or Counter-Cyclical ? Evidence from India

Open Access Original Article

Is Fiscal Policy Pro-Cyclical or Counter-Cyclical ? Evidence from India

Asit Ranjan Mohanty1,  Bibhuti Ranjan Mishra2

1 Professor, Department of Finance, XIMB, Xavier University, Bhubaneswar - 751 013, Odisha

2 Research Associate, Centre of Excellence in Fiscal Policy and Taxation (CEFT), Xavier University, Bhubaneswar - 751 013, Odisha

Volume 6
Issue 2
Pages 7–19
Year 2017
Received: Nov. 28, 2016 Accepted: March 21, 2017 Published: April 1, 2017
Abstract

This study investigated the cyclicality of fiscal policy in India at the Centre, State, and combined Centre - State level by employing three alternative methods. The period of analysis extended from 1970-71 to 2013-14. In general, the study finds pro-cyclicality behavior of expenditure in case of India. Revenue expenditure, primary revenue expenditure, capital outlay, and total expenditure were found to be pro-cyclical at the Centre and combined Centre - State level. Capital outlay was found to have more pro-cyclicality as compared to other expenditure categories both at the Centre and combined Centre - State level. However, at the State level, capital outlay was not found to have any cyclical relation with output.

Keywords Business Cycles Fiscal Policy Public Spending Econometrics
How to Cite

Asit Ranjan Mohanty, Bibhuti Ranjan Mishra (2017). Is Fiscal Policy Pro-Cyclical or Counter-Cyclical ? Evidence from India. Arthshastra Indian Journal of Economics & Research, 6(2), 7–19. https://doi.org/10.17010/aijer/2017/v6i2/114124

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